Cattle.(Analysis)

Pro Farmer, September, 2006

Position Monitor

 
         Feds   Feeders 
 
III'06    25%     0% 
IV'06     25%     0% 
I'07       0%     0% 
II'07      0%     0% 

GAME PLAN: Fed cattle producers have 25% of 3rd-qtr. hedged in Oct. cattle at $82.62 and 25% of 4th-qtr. hedged in Dec. cattle at $84.55. Stay in touch to exit hedge coverage once the liquidation phase dries up.

Fundamental analysis

The cattle market has put in a short-term top. Both boxed beef and cash cattle prices are on the decline after the strong surge into Labor Day. How deep the pullback from the recent highs in cattle futures extends will depend on product demand. With shipments to Japan increasing and domestic demand not likely to falter, especially with energy prices retreating, the period...

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