The downfall of optimism.
Economic Times (New Delhi, India), June, 2006
Jun. 23--Wimps don't win wars. That's conventional wisdom for you, which extorts you be bold and brash. Prophets of Power advise you to be positive: seize the world by its horns and master it like a man. Recent research from Princeton University, however, shows this to be dangerously wrong.
Overconfident people are more likely to wage war but fare worse in the ensuing battles, says the new study published in 'Proceedings of the Royal Society'.
The research on how people approach a computer war game backs up a theory that "positive illusions" may contribute to costly conflicts. Princeton researchers led by Dominic Johnson conducted computer simulations to test their hypothesis to conclude that overconfidence could wreak havoc on international relations...
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