Thank PCE for 'Measured' Rise in Interest Rates

US Banker, September, 2004

Most Americans would agree that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has been a worthy steward of monetary policy since he assumed the helm in 1987. Aside from steering the country through the stock market crash of 1987, the Internet bubble and two recessions, U.S. citizens can also be thankful for the chairman's popularizing of a once wonkish economic metric known as the personal-consumption expenditure index (PCE).

Mention of the PCE in the press is still often followed by a subordinate clause stating that it's the good chairman's favorite measurement of inflation. Why is that? And why did it displace the consumer price index (CPI) as the metric of choice? Put simply, while the CPI measures the monthly cost of a fixed basket of consumer items, the PCE is more flexible,...

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