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Fatah and Hamas
Atlantic, The, September, 2007
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What is the likelihood of two separate, self-governing Palestinian territories, one ruled by Hamas in Gaza and the other by Fatah in the West Bank, emerging from the current conflict in Palestine?
45% Highly unlikely
“Gaza under Hamas and the West Bank under Fatah is, I think, an unstable equilibrium. So I think it is not likely that that is what will emerge over the long term from the current conflict.”
“The viability of one state in the Palestinian territories is questionable. Two states with smaller populations and no economic base are unfathomable.”
“The West Bank and Gaza together constitute a minimally viable state; if separated, neither is likely to succeed.”
“…at least over the longer haul.”
“Two separate territories administered by rival parties would create an inherently unstable environment. It might be a transitional phenomenon, but not a stable ...
