Blood lead levels and sexual maturation in U.S. girls: the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-1994 - Children's Health

Environmental Health Perspectives, May, 2003 by Tiejian Wu, Germaine M. Buck, Pauline Mendola

Table 1. Characteristics of the study samples: NHANES III, 1988-1994.

                                    Sample 1 (girls 8-16 years old)

Characteristic                          Unweighted         Weighted

Race/ethnicity (%)
  Non-Hispanic white                       25.6              65.0
  Non-Hispanic African American            34.8              16.2
  Mexican American                         35.1               8.8
  Other                                     4.6              10.0
Age in years (mean [  or -] SD)     12.2 [  or -] 2.6        12.4
Family size (%)
  1-2                                      17.2              18.2
  3-6                                      66.3              70.3
  [greater than or equal to] 7             16.5             115.0
Residency (%)
  Nonmetropolitan                          53.4              54.7
  Metropolitan                             46.6              45.3
Poverty income ratio (%)
  Unknown                                   7.3               4.1
  < 1                                      36.8              23.6
  1-2                                      25.3              23.4
  > 2                                      30.7              48.9
Blood lead [[micro]g/dL (%)]
  0-2.0                                    54.3              66.9
  2.1-4.9                                  35.2              27.2
  5.0-21.7                                 10.4               5.9
BMI (mean [  or -] SD)              20.5 [  or -] 4.7        20.2

                                    Sample 2 (girls 10-16 years old)

Characteristic                          Unweighted         Weighted

Race/ethnicity (%)
  Non-Hispanic white                       25.3              64.5
  Non-Hispanic African American            34.3              16.0
  Mexican American                         35.6               9.5
  Other                                     4.9              10.0
Age in years (mean [  or -] SD)     13.3 [  or -] 2.0        13.5
Family size (%)
  1-2                                      17.2              17.8
  3-6                                      66.9              72.6
  [greater than or equal to] 7             15.9               9.6
Residency (%)
  Nonmetropolitan                          53.7              55.4
  Metropolitan                             46.3              44.6
Poverty income ratio (%)
  Unknown                                   7.0               4.2
  < 1                                      35.3              20.4
  1-2                                      26.2              23.5
  > 2                                      31.5              51.9
Blood lead [[microg/dL (%)]
  0-2.0                                    60.2              71.8
  2.1-4.9                                  32.9              24.1
  5.0-21.7                                  7.0               4.1
BMI (mean [  or -] SD)              21.4 [  or -] 4.7        21.0

Sample 1 (n = 1,706) includes girls with Tanner staging and blood lead
information; sample 2 (n = 1,235) contains a subset of girls from
sample 1 [greater than or equal to] 10 years old with menarche
information. Weighted statistics are calculated with the application
of weights established for the NHANES III exam sample.

Table 2. Unweighted percentage of girls at Tanner stage 2 for pubic
hair and breast development and attainment of menarche, by age and
blood lead level: NHANES III, 1988-1994.

                          0.7-2.0 [micro]g/dL   2.1-4.9 [micro]g/dL

Age (years)               No.        Percent    No.        Percent

Pubic hair
  8                        75          18.7      70          15.7
  9                        88          36.4     102          36.3
  10                       90          60.0      82          51.2
  11                       94          85.1     101          74.3
  12                      108          97.2      74          96.0
  13                      112          98.2      56         100.0
  14                      111          99.1      48         100.0
  15                      125         100.0      27         100.0
  16                      123         100.0      42         100.0
Breast development
  8                        75          26.7      70          22.9
  9                        88          36.4     102          35.3
  10                       90          61.1      82          72.0
  11                       94          90.4     101          87.1
  12                      108          98.2      74          96.0
  13                      112          99.1      56          98.2
  14                      111          99.1      48         100.0
  15                      125         100.0      27         100.0
  16                      123         100.0      42         100.0
Attainment of menarche
  10                       85           5.9      74           2.7
  11                       90          30.0      99          16.2
  12                      103          68.0      70          44.3
  13                      110          87.3      53          79.3
  14                      110          97.3      46          87.0
  15                      123         100.0      26         100.0
  16                      122          99.2      38         100.0

                          5.0-21.7 [micro]g/dL

Age (years)               No.       Percent       p-Value

Pubic hair
  8                        43           7.0
  9                        41          19.5
  10                       36          44.4        0.022
  11                       25          80.0
  12                       14          85.7
  13                        7         100.0
  14                        6         100.0
  15                        4         100.0
  16                        2         100.0
Breast development
  8                        43          11.6
  9                        41          34.2
  10                       36          61.1        0.520
  11                       25          84.0
  12                       14         100.0
  13                        7         100.0
  14                        6         100.0
  15                        4         100.0
  16                        2         100.0
Attainment of menarche
  10                       33           0.0
  11                       22           9.1
  12                       13          38.5        0.091
  13                        6          50.0
  14                        6          83.3
  15                        5         100.0
  16                        2         100.0

p-Values are from Cochran-Mantel Haenszel chi-square test of the
percentage differences across blood lead levels controlling for
age and after weighting and adjusting for NHANES III complex
sampling using SUDAAN software.

Table 3. Unweighted mean blood lead levels ([micro]g/dL) by age and
presence/absence of Tanner stage 2 pubertal measure and menarche:
NHANES III, 1988-1994.

                          Absence of pubertal measure

Age (years)               No.      Mean [  or -] SD

Pubic hair
  8                       160      3.5 [  or -] 2.6
  9                       154      3.5 [  or -] 2.6
  10                       96      3.7 [  or -] 3.6
  11                       45      3.2 [  or -] 2.7
  12                        8      4.1 [  or -] 4.7
  13                        2      1.3 [  or -] 0.8
  14                        1            0.7
  15
  16
Breast development
  8                       147      3.6 [  or -] 2.6
  9                       149      3.4 [  or -] 2.8
  10                       72      3.4 [  or -] 3.8
  11                       26      3.4 [  or -] 2.6
  12                        5      2.0 [  or -] 1.3
  13                        2      1.4 [  or -] 1.0
  14                        1            0.7
  15
  16
Attainment of menarche
  10                      185      3.3 [  or -] 3.0
  11                      166      3.0 [  or -] 2.3
  12                       80      2.8 [  or -] 2.5
  13                       28      2.8 [  or -] 2.4
  14                       10      2.5 [  or -] 1.8
  15                        1            0.7
  16

                          Presence of pubertal measure

Age (years)               No.      Mean [  or -] SD         p-Value

Pubic hair
  8                        28      2.4 [  or -] 1.4
  9                        77      3.1 [  or -] 2.9
  10                      112      2.8 [  or -] 2.1          0.013
  11                      175      2.8 [  or -] 2.1
  12                      188      2.2 [  or -] 1.7
  13                      173      2.0 [  or -] 1.5
  14                      164      1.9 [  or -] 1.5
  15                      156      1.5 [  or -] 1.2
  16                      167      1.6 [  or -] 1.0
Breast development
  8                        41      2.6 [  or -] 2.1
  9                        82      3.1 [  or -] 2.6
  10                      136      3.1 [  or -] 2.4          0.552
  11                      194      2.8 [  or -] 2.2
  12                      191      2.3 [  or -] 1.9
  13                      173      2.0 [  or -] 1.5
  14                      164      1.9 [  or -] 1.5
  15                      156      1.5 [  or -] 1.2
  16                      167      1.6 [  or -] 1.0
Attainment of menarche
  10                        7      1.3 [  or -] 0.7
  11                       45      2.1 [  or -] 1.3
  12                      106      2.0 [  or -] 1.3          0.053
  13                      141      1.8 [  or -] 1.2
  14                      152      1.8 [  or -] 1.5
  15                      153      1.5 [  or -] 1.2
  16                      161      1.6 [  or -] 1.0

p-Values are for the mean difference in blood lead (natural log
transformed) between presence and absence of a puberty milestone after
controlling for age using ANOVA with application of weights and the
adjustment for NHANES III complex sampling using SUDAAN software.

Table 4. Likelihood (a) of having attained pubertal markers by
blood lead levels: NHANES III, 1988-1994.

                                Pubic hair         Breast development

Blood lead ([micro]g/dL)       0R      95% CI       OR       95% CI

0.7-2.0                       1.00    Reference    1.00    Reference
2.1-4.9                       0.48    0.25-0.92    1.51    0.90-2.53
5.0-21.7                      0.27    0.08-0.93    1.20    0.51-2.85
Log transformed (b)           0.54    0.32-0.91    1.20    0.76-1.92

                              Attainment of menarche

Blood lead ([micro]g/dL)       OR      95% CI

0.7-2.0                       1.00    Reference
2.1-4.9                       0.42    0.18-0.97
5.0-21.7                      0.19    0.08-0.43
Log transformed (b)           0.52    0.28-0.97

Abbreviations: 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.

(a) Logistic regression with adjustment for age, race/ethnicity,
poverty income ratio, metro residence, family size, and BMI using
SUDAAN software and weights established for the NHANES III exam
sample. (b) Natural log transformed, treated as a continuous variable.
The categorical and continuous variables of blood lead were analyzed
in separate models.
 

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