Business Services Industry
S&P Rates Pemex Finance's $1B Notes Ser 1999-B `BBB'
Business Wire, July 9, 1999
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Standard & Poor's--
July 9, 1999--Standard & Poor's today assigned its preliminary triple-`B' rating to Pemex Finance Ltd.'s $1 billion note series 1999-B.
In addition, Standard & Poor's affirmed its triple-`B' rating on the uninsured tranches of the company's 1998 and 1999-A series notes.
The preliminary rating is based on information as of July 8, 1999. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of a final rating that differs from the preliminary rating.
This is the third issuance in a $5 billion program that was rated in December 1998. With the proposed transaction, total program issuance to date will be $3.6 billion. It is expected that one of the three tranches will be the beneficiary of a financial guarantee insurance policy issued by MBIA and will therefore be rated triple-`A'.
The issued notes will be unsecured senior obligations of Pemex Finance Ltd., with interest and principal payable quarterly.
The triple-`B' rating on the $5 billion program is based on:
-- The ability of Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) to produce, and PMI
Internacional S.A. de C.V. to export, an amount of Maya crude
oil, or if unavailable, other crude oil, to generate sufficient
receivables to pay debt service on up to $5.0 billion of debt
over the next 30 years.
-- A sufficient level of overcollateralization, which, on average,
is expected to be 3.8 times (x) debt service, given a stress case
of a $5 billion note amortizing over 15 years, and 3x debt
service, given a stress case of a $5 billion note amortizing over
10 years.
-- The availability of a liquidity facility to cover debt service
for the next scheduled payment date.
-- The structural enhancements in place to mitigate sovereign risk,
including the assignment of receivables generated from the sale
of Maya crude oil to Pemex Finance. In addition, the heavy and
sour quality of Maya crude oil makes redirection to alternative
(non-designated) customers difficult, as most of the refining
capacity for this type of crude is located in the United States,
Canada, and Aruba. Before closing, the designated customers
signed agreements acknowledging the assignment and agreeing to
make any future payments directly to an offshore collection
account.
-- The expectation that, in the event of heightened sovereign
financial stress, including the possible but unlikely event of
default, the government would be less likely to interfere with
the service of this obligation than with other Pemex obligations
not benefiting from a supporting structure. This assessment
reflects Pemex's timely service of its debt secured by future oil
receivable sales in the early 1980s, even as other Pemex
obligations were included in the rescheduling of public sector
debt. Indeed, in a number of past instances of financial stress,
the Mexican government has utilized oil exports or oil export
revenues as collateral for sizable emergency external credits. As
a result, Standard & Poor's believes that, in a possible future
situation of financial stress, the government would be likely to
protect the value of this financing option by according it de
facto seniority. The implicit priority accorded to this debt is
also supported by the importance of oil industry revenues to the
government's fiscal performance.
The triple-`B' rating is constrained by:
-- The size of the program. The debt service coverage, given a fully
utilized program, results in a relatively high percentage of U.S.
dollars remaining offshore compared with similarly structured
transactions. This could increase the government's incentive to
interfere with debt service payments during a period of financial
stress;
-- The ownership structure of Pemex. Pemex is a decentralized public
entity wholly owned by Mexico (double-`B' foreign currency
rating). Pemex has little autonomy, and is treated as an integral
part of the public sector, from both a financial and operational
perspective.
-- Pemex's inconsistent track record in the area of exploration and
reserve replacement. At current reserve and production levels,
Maya crude oil, the product least likely to be redirected, could
be depleted in less than 30 years. Pemex is obligated to sell to
Pemex Finance receivables generated from the sale of other grades
of crude oil if exports of Maya crude oil fall to less than
450,000 barrels per day. However, sales of these other grades of
crude oil may more easily be redirected to customers other than
designated customers.
-- The limited ability and willingness of designated customers to
make payments directly into the offshore collection account.
Although about 10% of Pemex's customers are either rated below
investment grade or are unrated, the risk of nonpayment by these
customers is mitigated by Pemex's conservative credit policies
and the excellent payment history of its designated customer base
over the past five years.
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