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Electronic Gaming Business, Sept 22, 2004
Top Five Video Game SKUs (August 2004) Title: Madden NFL 2005 Platform: PS2 Publisher: EA Sports Release Date: 4-Aug Unit Sales: 1,112,588 Dollar Sales: $54,142,420 Title: Madden NFL 2004 Platform: Xbox Publisher: EA Sports Release Date: 4-Aug Unit Sales: 509,100 Dollar Sales: $25,103,580 Title: ESPN NFL 2K5 Platform: PS2 Publisher: Take 2 Release Date: 4-Jul Unit Sales: 448,433 Dollar Sales: $8,897,210 Title: Madden NFL 2005 Collector's Edition Platform: PS2 Publisher: EA Sports Release Date: 4-Aug Unit Sales: 395,811 Dollar Sales: $23,390,230 Title: ESPN NFL 2K5 Platform: Xbox Publisher: Take 2 Release Date: 4-Jul Unit Sales: 311,359 Dollar Sales: $8,165,545 Source: NPD Funworld
Despite EA Sports' announcement that Madden 2005 had the '04 sales records, it is obvious that Take-Two took a hunk out of Madden pride this year with an estimated 1.5 million in total ESPN sales. Banc of America analyst Gary Cooper has lowered revenue estimates for EA Sports by 10% because of the successful insurgency, although he insists the damage is temporary. $19.99 price points for triple-A sports titles are not profitable for Take-Two, and it will likely have to go to $29.99 next year, while EA may try to hit back on price and release timing. Nevertheless, the price strategy has gotten ESPN on the broad not only in football but in upcoming hockey and basketball titles that are registering well with users. EA already cut NBA Live 2005 to $39.95. We think ESPN and Take-Two may be wiling to buy market share for another year, especially since we think this franchise has its eye on the next generation of connected consoles and tying the sports titles to online and fantasy league play. Does even mighty Madden have ESPN's TV and print omnipresence to drive users to online play? Nope. The extremely strong performance of the Xbox SKUs relative to the PS2's in both titles suggests how important online is going to be for the sports genre, and by breaking even now in order to harvest eyeballs to the brand ESPN/Take-Two could be looking for a long terms pay off later.
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