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Interest rates and bond yields - ending March 28, 1998 - Money, Credit, and Security Markets - Brief Article - Illustration

Economic Indicators, March, 1998

Overall, interest rates rose in March.

[Percent per annum]

                    U.S. Treasury security yields

                                 Constant maturities(2)
              3-month
              bills (new
Period        issues)(1)     3-year    10-year    30-year

1988            6.69          8.26       8.85       8.96
1989            8.12          8.55       8.49       8.45
1990            7.51          8.26       8.55       8.61
1991            5.42          6.82       7.86       8.14
1992            3.40          5.30       7.01       7.67
1993            3.02          4.44       5.87       6.59
1994            4.29          6.27       7.09       7.37
1995            5.51          6.25       6.57       6.88
1996            5.02          5.99       6.44       6.11
1997            5.07          6.10       6.35       6.61

1997: Mar       5.14          6.38       6.69       6.93
      Apr       5.17          6.61       6.89       7.09
      May       5.13          6.42       6.71       6.94
      June      4.92          6.24       6.49       6.77
      July      5.07          6.00       6.22       6.51
      Aug       5.13          6.06       6.30       6.58
      Sept      4.97          5.98       6.21       6.30
      Oct       4.95          5.84       6.03       6.33
      Nov       5.15          5.76       5.88       6.11
      Dec       5.16          5.74       5.81       5.99

1998: Jan       5.09          5.38       5.54       5.81
      Feb       5.11          5.43       5.57       5.89
      Mar(p)    5.03          5.57       5.65       5.90

Week ended:
1998: Mar  7    5.12          5.62       5.75       6.05
          14    4.97          5.53       5.62       5.93
          21    4.99          5.50       5.57       5.89
          28    5.03          5.59       5.63       5.92

                 High-grade
                 municipal         Corporate      Prime
                 bonds             Aaa            commercial
                 (Standard         bonds          paper,
Period           & Poor's)(3)     (Moody's)       6 months(1)

1988                7.76            9.71             7.68
1989                7.24            9.26             8.80
1990                7.25            9.32             7.95
1991                6.89            8.77             5.85
1992                6.41            8.14             3.80
1993                5.63            7.22             3.30
1994                6.19            7.96             4.93
1995                5.95            7.59             5.93
1996                5.75            7.37             5.42
1997                5.55            7.27             (*)

1997: Mar           5.78            7.55             5.61
      Apr           5.88            7.73             5.79
      May           5.71            7.58             5.78
      June          5.60            7.41             5.69
      July          5.41            7.14             5.60
      Aug           5.47            7.22             5.59
      Sept          5.38            7.15             (*)
      Oct           5.37            7.00             (*)
      Nov           5.38            6.87             (*)
      Dec           5.22            6.76             (*)

1998: Jan           5.07            6.61             (*)
      Feb           5.16            6.67             (*)
      Mar(p)        5.30            6.71             (*)

Week ended:
1998: Mar  7        5.32            6.81             (*)
          14        5.30            6.70             (*)
          21        5.30            6.66             (*)
          28        5.28            6.69             (*)

                    Discount rate         Prime rate
Period             (N.Y. F.R. Bank)(4)    charged by banks(4)

1988                     6.20                   9.32
1989                     6.93                  10.87
1990                     6.98                  10.01
1991                     0.45                   8.46
1992                     3.25                   6.25
1993                     3.00                   6.00
1994                     3.60                   7.15
1995                     5.21                   8.83
1996                     5.02                   8.27
1997                     5.00                   8.44

1997: Mar           5.00-5.00              8.25-8.50
      Apr           5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      May           5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      June          5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      July          5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      Aug           5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      Sept          5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      Oct           5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      Nov           5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      Dec           5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50

1998: Jan           5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      Feb           5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
      Mar(p)        5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50

Week ended:
1998: Mar  7        5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
          14        5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
          21        5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50
          28        5.00-5.00              8.50-8.50

                   Federal             New- home mortgage
Period            funds rate(5)        yields (FHFB)(6)

1988                  7.57                   9.19
1989                  9.21                  10.13
1990                  8.10                  10.05
1991                  5.69                   9.32
1992                  3.52                   8.24
1993                  3.02                   7.20
1994                  4.21                   7.49
1995                  5.83                   7.87
1996                  5.30                   7.80
1997                  5.46                   7.71

1997: Mar             5.39                   7.88
      Apr             5.51                   8.03
      May             5.50                   8.01
      June            5.56                   7.95
      July            5.52                   7.78
      Aug             5.54                   7.59
      Sept            5.54                   7.61
      Oct             5.50                   7.54
      Nov             5.52                   7.40
      Dec             5.50                   7.40

1998: Jan             5.56                   7.27
      Feb             5.51                   7.24
      Mar(p)          5.50                   ...

Week ended:
1998: Mar  7          5.60                   ...
          14          5.45                   ...
          21          5.47                   ...
          28          5.43                   ...

 

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