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Production and business activity

Economic Indicators, Dec, 2004

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION

Industrial production and capacity utilization
rose in November. (Series revised.)

[GRAPHIC OMITTED]

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

                     Total industrial production (1)

                                 Percent change (2)

                                   From
                                 preced-      From
                     Index         ing        year
Period            1997 = 100      month      earlier

1994 (r)                  85.3       ...          5.4
1995 (r)                  89.4       ...          4.8
1996 (r)                  93.2       ...          4.3
1997 (r)                 100.0       ...          7.3
1998 (r)                 105.8       ...          5.8
1999 (r)                 110.6       ...          4.5
2000 (r)                 115.4       ...          4.3
2001 (r)                 111.3       ...         -3.6
2002 (r)                 111.0       ...          -.3
2003 (r)                 110.9       ...           .0

2003: Nov (r)            112.7        1.0         1.3
      Dec (r)            112.9         .2         2.0

2004: Jan (r)            113.2         .3         2.1
      Feb (r)            114.4        1.1         3.1
      Mar (r)            114.1        -.3         3.2
      Apr (r)            114.7         .5         4.7
      May (r)            115.5         .7         5.4
      June (r)           115.1        -.4         4.7
      July (r)           115.9         .7         4.8
      Aug (r)            116.0         .1         5.0
      Sept (r)           115.9        -.1         4.1
      Oct (r)            116.7         .7         4.6
      Nov (p)            117.0         .2         3.8

                         Industry production indexes,
                                 1997 = 100

                 Manufacturing

                                              Non-
Period             Total (1)     Durable     Durable

1994 (r)                  83.7       75.7        94.5
1995 (r)                  88.1       82.1        96.2
1996 (r)                  92.2       89.1        96.4
1997 (r)                 100.0      100.0       100.0
1998 (r)                 106.6       11.0       101.5
1999 (r)                 112.2      120.1       102.2
2000 (r)                 117.3      129.4       102.8
2001 (r)                 112.3      123.1        99.4
2002 (r)                 111.9      122.8        99.6
2003 (r)                 111.9      124.4        98.1

2003: Nov (r)            113.9      128.2        98.6
      Dec (r)            113.9      128.1        98.3

2004: Jan (r)            114.1      139.0        98.1
      Feb (r)            115.5      130.7        98.9
      Mar (r)            115.6      130.8        99.1
      Apr (r)            116.4      131.6        99.8
      May (r)            117.1      132.4       100.3
      June (r)           116.9      132.3       100.2
      July (r)           117.8      133.7       100.7
      Aug (r)            118.3      134.4       100.7
      Sept (r)           117.8      134.2       100.3
      Oct (r)            118.6      135.5       100.8
      Nov (p)            118.9      135.5       101.0

                        Industry production indexes,
                                1997 = 100

                 Manufacturing

                     Other
                     (non-
                    NAICS)
Period                (1)         Mining    Utilities

1994 (r)                  13.1       96.8        93.9
1995 (r)                  93.0       96.7        97.2
1996 (r)                  92.3       98.3       100.0
1997 (r)                 100.0      100.0       100.0
1998 (r)                 106.5       98.5       102.6
1999 (r)                  10.9       93.6       105.5
2000 (r)                 112.2       95.8       108.6
2001 (r)                 105.7       96.7       108.1
2002 (r)                 100.5       92.6       111.4
2003 (r)                  99.5       92.2       111.9

2003: Nov (r)            100.1       92.4       112.2
      Dec (r)             99.8       92.2       114.9

2004: Jan (r)             99.8       92.9       115.8
      Feb (r)            102.9       92.1       117.7
      Mar (r)            102.6       92.1       113.1
      Apr (r)            103.4       92.2       113.3
      May (r)            104.5       91.6       116.2
      June (r)           103.5       91.2       113.8
      July (r)           104.0       92.3       113.3
      Aug (r)            105.9       91.9       111.1
      Sept (r)           103.4       89.4       115.8
      Oct (r)            103.0       90.5       116.8
      Nov (p)            101.8       92.3       115.2

                    Capacity utilization
                            rate
                     (output as percent
                      of capacity) (1)

                                  Total
                     Total       manufac-
Period             industry       turing

1994 (r)                  83.5       82.6
1995 (r)                  83.7       82.8
1996 (r)                  82.7       81.4
1997 (r)                  83.7       82.8
1998 (r)                  82.9       81.8
1999 (r)                  82.2       81.1
2000 (r)                  82.0       80.6
2001 (r)                  76.6       74.5
2002 (r)                  75.3       73.5
2003 (r)                  75.5       73.7

2003: Nov (r)             76.7       75.0
      Dec (r)             76.8       75.0

2004: Jan (r)             76.9       75.1
      Feb (r)             77.7       75.9
      Mar (r)             77.4       75.9
      Apr (r)             77.7       76.3
      May (r)             78.2       76.7
      June (r)            77.8       76.5
      July (r)            78.3       77.0
      Aug (r)             78.3       77.2
      Sept (r)            78.1       76.9
      Oct (r)             78.6       77.3
      Nov (p)             78.7       77.4

(1) Total industry and total manufacturing series
include manufacturing as defined in the North American
Industry Classification System (NAICS) plus those
industries--logging and newspaper, periodical, book and
directory-publishing--that have traditionally been
included in manufacturing.

(2) Percent changes based on unrounded indexes.

NOTE.--Data based on the North American Industry
Classification System (NAICS) except
series as defined in footnot 1.

Data havwe been revised beginning in 1972. See
Federal Reserve release on the annual revisions
to these series released on December 22, 2004.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION--MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES

[1997=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]

                Products and nonindustrial supplies

                         Final products

                         Consumer goods
    Period
                 Total           Dur-    Nondur-
                         Total   able     able-
                                 goods    goods

1994 (r)          87.1    91.8    86.1      94.2
1995 (r)          90.6    94.6    90.0      96.5
1996 (r)          94.0    96.6    93.7      97.7
1997 (r)         100.0   100.0   100.0     100.0
1998 (r)         105.6   103.5   106.9     102.2
1999 (r)         108.4   105.5   114.1     102.2
2000 (r)         111.7   107.7   117.8     103.8
2001 (r)         109.1   106.5   112.7     103.9
2002 (r)         107.7   108.0   118.8     103.9
2003 (r)         108.6   108.3   121.4     103.3

2003: Nov (r)    110.5   109.6   124.5     104.0
      Dec (r)    110.5   109.7   124.6     104.1

2002: Jan (r)    110.8   109.9   126.0     103.9
      Feb (r)    112.3   111.3   126.8     105.6
      Mar (r)    111.7   110.4   125.5     104.8
      Apr (r)    112.3   110.7   125.6     105.1
      May (r)    113.1   111.3   124.8     106.2
      June (r)   112.4   110.2   123.1     105.3
      July (r)   113.7   110.8   123.0     106.1
      Aug (r)    113.8   111.4   125.4     106.1
      Sept (r)   113.8   111.2   123.6     106.5
      Oct (r)    114.8   112.0   125.8     106.9
      Nov (p)    114.9   112.0   125.6     106.9

                     Products and nonindustrial supplies

                       Final products       Nonindustrial supplies

                         Equipment
    Period
                                   De-              Con-    Busi-
                         Busi-    fense            struc-   ness
                 Total    ness     and     Total    tion    sup-
                  (1)    equip-   space             sup-    plies
                          ment    equip-           plies
                                   ment

1994 (r)          78.4      7.3    108.8    87.0     89.5    86.2
1995 (r)          83.2     79.9    105.8    90.3     91.4    89.9
1996 (r)          89.2     87.3    101.8    93.8     95.5    93.2
1997 (r)         100.0    100.0    100.0   100.0    100.0   100.0
1998 (r)         109.6    110.9    103.7   105.7    105.2   105.8
1999 (r)         114.2    117.4    100.7   109.9    107.9   110.6
2000 (r)         119.7    125.8     90.1   114.3    110.2   115.8
2001 (r)         113.9    116.8     98.1   109.5    105.1   111.1
2002 (r)         105.6    107.6     99.2   108.6    104.2   110.3
2003 (r)         107.9    108.5    106.4   107.6    101.8   109.9

2003: Nov (r)    111.2    112.5    108.4   109.2    104.3   111.1
      Dec (r)    111.1    112.6    107.0   104.4    104.3   111.4

2002: Jan (r)    111.8    113.7    106.0   110.1    104.6   112.3
      Feb (r)    113.2    115.2    107.1   111.5    104.9   114.1
      Mar (r)    113.5    115.3    108.2   111.3    105.8   113.5
      Apr (r)    115.0    116.7    109.9   112.1    106.5   114.3
      May (r)    116.3    118.2    111.1   112.8    107.3   114.9
      June (r)   116.6    118.7    110.7   112.6    107.0   114.7
      July (r)   119.6    121.9    112.8   113.0    107.9   114.9
      Aug (r)    118.6    120.7    112.7   113.0    108.3   114.8
      Sept (r)   119.1    121.0    113.5   112.8    107.4   114.9
      Oct (r)    120.3    122.4    113.6   113.3    108.1   115.3
      Nov (p)    120.9    122.7    115.0   113.5    108.6   115.4

                     Materials
    Period
                 Total (1)   Energy

1994 (r)              83.1     97.2
1995 (r)              88.0     98.6
1996 (r)              92.3    100.1
1997 (r)             100.0    100.0
1998 (r)             106.1    100.5
1999 (r)             113.1    100.2
2000 (r)             119.6    101.6
2001 (r)             114.1    100.4
2002 (r)             115.2    100.4
2003 (r)             114.6     99.8

2003: Nov (r)        116.1     99.5
      Dec (r)        116.6    100.3

2002: Jan (r)        116.8    100.9
      Feb (r)        117.6    100.5
      Mar (r)        117.6     99.3
      Apr (r)        118.1     99.8
      May (r)        118.9    100.8
      June (r)       118.8     99.6
      July (r)       119.2     99.6
      Aug (r)        119.3     98.6
      Sept (r)       119.0     98.0
      Oct (r)        119.9     99.1
      Nov (p)        120.2     99.8

(1) Includes other items, not shown separately.

[1997=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]

                       Durable manufactures

                 Primary metal
                                 Fabri-
                         Iron    cated
    Period                and    metal      Ma-
                 Total   steel   prod-    chinery
                         prod-    ucts
                         ucts

1994 (r)          92.7    93.3     87.1      85.5
1995 (r)          93.8    94.8     92.3      91.5
1996 (r)          96.0    97.1     95.8      94.8
1997 (r)         100.0   100.0    100.0     100.0
1998 (r)         101.6    99.8    103.1     102.5
1999 (r)         101.4   100.5    104.0     100.3
2000 (r)          98.1    99.5    108.1     105.4
2001 (r)          88.7    90.0    100.0      93.1
2002 (r)          90.3    92.0     97.6      88.3
2003 (r)          87.4    93.3     93.5      86.4

2003: Nov (r)     91.2    98.3     94.2      89.2
      Dec (r)     92.9   104.4     94.5      90.0

2004: Jan (r)     87.9    96.3     95.0      91.5
      Feb (r)     90.7    99.9     95.3      94.3
      Mar (r)     91.5   100.6     95.1      94.1
      Apr (r)     90.0    96.4     96.2      95.2
      May (r)     90.8    97.5     96.6      96.5
      June (r)    92.1    98.9     96.9      96.4
      July (r)    93.4   100.7     97.1      99.1
      Aug (r)     93.2   100.7     97.6      96.6
      Sept (r)    94.7   104.9     96.9      97.3
      Oct (r)     95.1   105.4     97.3      98.3
      Nov (p)     95.7   106.7     97.3      98.1

                          Durable manufactures

                 Computer and elec-    Transportation
                  tronic products        equipment

    Period                Selected             Motor
                 Total     high-      Total   vehicles
                           tech-                and
                         nology (1)            parts

1994 (r)          44.8         33.9    89.9       89.4
1995 (r)          58.1         48.0    90.0       92.0
1996 (r)          74.3         67.3    91.7       92.7
1997 (r)         100.0        100.0   100.0      100.0
1998 (r)         128.5        139.2   108.9      105.2
1999 (r)         169.7        202.2   114.7      116.7
2000 (r)         224.9        288.4   109.4      115.9
2001 (r)         227.3        293.6   105.2      105.7
2002 (r)         222.2        289.9   109.3      115.7
2003 (r)         251.5        340.8   111.1      119.9

2003: Nov (r)    264.7        362.3   114.4      123.8
      Dec (r)    263.5        362.3   114.7      124.5

2002: Jan (r)    266.9        370.7   115.0      125.2
      Feb (r)    272.4        381.1   116.4      127.0
      Mar (r)    276.0        385.9   115.4      125.3
      Apr (r)    278.5        392.6   115.6      125.0
      May (r)    285.1        401.9   114.5      123.1
      June (r)   288.7        406.8   113.0      121.0
      July (r)   292.9        411.5   113.2      120.5
      Aug (r)    295.4        415.7   115.8      124.5
      Sept (r)   298.1        418.5   114.7      123.1
      Oct (r)    300.0        420.6   117.6      127.1
      Nov (p)    300.8        425.0   117.6      126.2

                    Nondurable manufactures

                         Print-
    Period        Ap-     ing     Che-    Food
                 parel    and     ical
                          sup-
                          port

1994 (r)         104.0     95.9    91.1    96.9
1995 (r)         104.2     97.3    92.5    99.3
1996 (r)         101.3     98.0    94.4    97.3
1997 (r)         100.0    100.0   100.0   100.0
1998 (r)          94.6    101.2   101.7   104.4
1999 (r)          90.6    102.0   103.7   105.5
2000 (r)          86.2    102.7   105.3   107.3
2001 (r)          73.9     96.4   103.4   107.4
2002 (r)          62.1     91.1   107.9   109.4
2003 (r)          52.4     87.3   107.2   109.6

2003: Nov (r)     50.3     87.2   108.2   110.0
      Dec (r)     50.0     87.2   107.5   110.3

2002: Jan (r)     49.8     87.7   106.8   110.0
      Feb (r)     50.2     87.9   107.5   110.4
      Mar (r)     50.5     88.2   108.6   110.8
      Apr (r)     50.9     87.8   110.0   110.8
      May (r)     50.0     87.1   110.3   112.1
      June (r)    49.3     87.9   110.3   111.3
      July (r)    47.9     87.0   110.9   111.9
      Aug (r)     47.5     86.9   111.8   111.9
      Sept (r)    47.7     88.5   110.8   111.8
      Oct (r)     47.3     87.2   111.8   111.6
      Nov (p)     47.1     87.9   112.3   111.1

(1) Computers and office equipment, communications equipment, and
semiconductors and related electronic components.

Note.--See Note, p. 17.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

NEW CONSTRUCTION

[Billion of dollars; montly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

                                       Private

    Period      Total new                Residential
                construc-
                 tion ex-            Total (1)     New
                penditures   Total               housing

1994                 539.2   419.0       258.6     176.4
1995                 557.8   427.9       247.4     171.4
1996                 615.9   476.6       281.1     191.1
1997                 653.4   502.7       289.0     198.1
1998                 705.7   551.4       314.6     224.0
1999                 766.1   596.3       350.6     251.3
2000                 828.2   642.6       374.5     265.0
2001                 858.3   652.5       388.3     279.4
2002                 871.3   651.7       421.9     298.8
2003                 915.7   690.0       476.1     345.9

2003: Oct            942.2   714.1       495.6     366.4
      Nov            947.7   721.1       504.2     375.6
      Dec            948.9   727.0       511.3     381.7

2004: Jan            946.5   724.0       513.9     383.5
      Feb            952.2   732.1       516.4     384.9
      Mar            973.9   738.7       522.2     391.1
      Apr            986.4   747.5       525.9     397.8
      May            992.8   756.4       535.5     407.5
      June           996.4   758.9       538.5     409.8
      July         1,005.1   767.1       543.3     411.7
      Aug          1,007.9   777.0       552.7     419.5
      Sept         1,009.0   776.0       551.1     417.2
      Oct (p)      1,009.4   773.4       549.4     416.7

                               Private

    Period                     Nonresidential

                                           Commercial
                Total   Lodging   Office   (including
                                             farm)

1994            160.4       4.7     20.4         39.6
1995            180.5       7.1     23.0         44.1
1996            195.5      10.9     26.5         49.4
1997            213.7      12.9     32.8         53.1
1998            236.8      14.8     40.4         55.7
1999            245.8      16.0     45.1         59.4
2000            268.2      16.3     52.4         64.1
2001            264.2      14.5     49.7         63.6
2002            229.8      10.5     35.3         59.2
2003            213.9       9.9     30.4         57.7

2003: Oct       218.6      10.0     32.5         58.1
      Nov       216.9       9.4     32.1         57.0
      Dec       215.7       9.3     31.5         56.7

2004: Jan       210.1       8.7     29.2         56.9
      Feb       215.7      10.1     32.0         56.8
      Mar       216.5      11.1     32.2         56.4
      Apr       221.6      11.4     33.1         58.9
      May       220.9      11.2     32.4         60.0
      June      220.4      11.9     33.1         61.3
      July      223.8      12.3     32.8         63.0
      Aug       224.3      12.7     32.3         63.6
      Sept      224.8      12.9     32.0         62.8
      Oct (p)   224.0      13.3     31.5         61.8

                      Private
    Period
                   Nonresidential      Federal
                                         and
                Manufac-                State
                 turing    Other (2)     and
                                        local

1994                28.8        66.9     120.2
1995                35.4        70.9     129.9
1996                38.1        70.6     139.3
1997                37.6        77.3     150.7
1998                40.5        85.4     154.3
1999                32.6        92.8     169.7
2000                31.8       103.6     185.5
2001                29.5       106.8     205.8
2002                16.4       108.4     219.6
2003                14.2       101.6     225.7

2003: Oct           14.9       103.0     228.0
      Nov           14.4       104.0     226.6
      Dec           13.6       104.6     222.0

2004: Jan           13.8       101.6     222.6
      Feb           13.8       102.9     220.1
      Mar           13.9       103.0     235.2
      Apr           13.4       104.8     238.9
      May           14.3       103.1     236.3
      June          13.0       101.1     237.4
      July          14.3       100.9     238.0
      Aug           14.4       101.2     231.0
      Sept          15.2       102.0     233.1
      Oct (p)       15.4       102.1     236.0

(1) Includes residential improvements, not shown separately.

(2) Includes health care, educational, communication, and power,
among other categories not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES

[Thousands of units or houses, except as noted]

                     New private housing units

    Period      Units started, by type of structure

                                  2-4 units  5 units
                Total    1 unit      (1)     or more

1994            1,457.0  1,198.4       35.2    223.5
1995            1,354.1  1,076.3       33.8    244.1
1996            1,476.8  1,160.0       45.3    270.8
1997            1,474.0  1,133.7       44.5    295.8
1998            1,616.9  1,271.4       42.6    302.9
1999            1,640.9  1,302.4       31.9    306.6
2000            1,568.7  1,230.9       38.7    299.1
2001            1,602.7  1,273.3       36.6    292.8
2002            1,704.9  1,358.6       38.5    307.9
2003            1,847.7  1,499.0       33.5    315.2

                  Seasonally adjusted annual rates

2003: Oct         2,054    1,670         37      347
      Nov         2,067    1,657         29      381

2004: Jan         1,934    1,565         30      339
      Feb         1,895    1,521         30      344
      Mar         2,000    1,624         33      343
      Apr         1,963    1,615         36      312
      May         1,979    1,654         56      269
      June        1,817    1,520         25      272
      July        1,985    1,661         64      260
      Aug         2,018    1,685         67      266
      Sept (r)    1,905    1,549         31      325
      Oct (r)     2,039    1,640         42      357
      Nov (p)     1,771    1,448         35      288

                      New private      New private houses   Vacancy
                     housing units                         rate for
    Period                                      Houses      rental
                  Units       Units    Houses  for sale     housing
                authorized  completed   sold    at end       units
                                               of period   (percent)
                                                  (2)         (3)

1994               1,371.6    1,346.9     670        336         7.4
1995               1,332.5    1,312.6     667        370         7.6
1996               1,425.6    1,412.9     757        322         7.8
1997               1,441.1    1,400.5     804        281         7.7
1998               1,612.3    1,474.2     886        294         7.9
1999               1,663.5    1,604.9     880        308         8.1
2000               1,592.3    1,573.7     877        298         8.0
2001               1,636.7    1,570.8     973        308         8.4
2002               1,747.7    1,648.4     973        339         8.9
2003               1,889.2    1,678.7   1,086        370         9.8

                         Seasonally adjusted annual rates

2003: Oct            1,920      1,709   1,086        365         ...
      Nov            1,979      1,736   1,120        370        10.2

2004: Jan            1,913      1,714   1,155        374         ...
      Feb            1,913      1,729   1,165        373         ...
      Mar            1,975      1,782   1,270        379        10.4
      Apr            2,006      1,944   1,176        384         ...
      May            2,097      1,928   1,244        385         ...
      June           1,945      1,865   1,198        383        10.2
      July           2,066      1,876   1,095        399         ...
      Aug            1,969      1,914   1,158        405         ...
      Sept (r)       1,998      1,777   1,227        409        10.1
      Oct (r)        2,018      1,813   1,278        409         ...
      Nov (p)        2,028      1,705   1,125        418         ...

(1) Derived; seasonally adjusted monthly data for 2-4 housing units
started are no longer published.

(2) Seasonally adjusted.

(3) Revised series. Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter.

NOTE.--Units authorized are for 19,000 places.

Beginning 1999, housing starts, completiions, and sales are not
directly comparable with earlier data due to new estimation methods.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES--Manufacturing and Trade

In October, according to preliminary estimates, manufacturing and trade
sales rose 1.2 percent and inventories rose $3.7 billion. According to
advance estimates, retail sales rose 0.1 percent in November. Retail
and food services sales rose 0.1 percent.

                     Manufacturing and trade (1)

                                           Inven-
    Period                   Inven-        tory-
                 Sales (2)   tories (3)     sales
                                          ratio (4)

1994               610,669      930,681        1.47
1995               655,227      989,067        1.48
1996               687,472    1,008,623        1.46
1997               724,126    1,049,527        1.42
1998               743,702    1,081,988        1.44
1999               787,531    1,142,277        1.41
2000               835,194    1,200,666        1.41
2001               819,061    1,146,151        1.44
2002               822,013    1,163,690        1.40
2003               856,998    1,185,477        1.37

2003: Oct (r)      872,916    1,176,942        1.35
      Nov (r)      879,362    1,181,735        1.34
      Dec          891,329    1,185,477        1.33

2004: Jan          894,394    1,187,402        1.33
      Feb          902,285    1,197,124        1.33
      Mar          931,224    1,205,977        1.30
      Apr          930,732    1,214,579        1.30
      May          938,211    1,222,744        1.30
      June         940,345    1,236,066        1.31
      July         948,939    1,248,260        1.32
      Aug          954,299    1,257,121        1.32
      Sept (r)     957,635    1,257,095        1.31
      Oct (p)      968,985    1,260,749        1.30
      Nov (p)         ...          ...         ...

                              Wholesale

                                           Inven-
                               Inven-       tory-
                 Sales (2)   tories (3)     sales
                                          ratio (4)

1994               161,133      218,119        1.29
1995               176,227      234,268        1.30
1996               186,649      237,186        1.38
1997               194,541      254,763        1.27
1998               198,319      267,689        1.32
1999               211,631      284,396        1.30
2000               228,630      301,618        1.29
2001               225,123      287,913        1.32
2002               228,524      288,990        1.25
2003               240,442      295,435        1.21

2003: Oct (r)      246,703      292,068        1.18
      Nov (r)      247,737      293,534        1.18
      Dec          251,526      295,435        1.17

2004: Jan          253,664      296,016        1.17
      Feb          259,109      299,712        1.16
      Mar          266,509      301,311        1.13
      Apr          269,017      301,989        1.12
      May          269,823      306,229        1.13
      June         270,235      309,744        1.15
      July         272,479      314,354        1.15
      Aug          275,213      317,681        1.15
      Sept (r)     277,498      319,510        1.15
      Oct (p)      281,971      323,085        1.15
      Nov (p)         ...          ...         ...

                                Retail
                                                          Retail
                                              Inven-       food
                                 Inven-        tory-     services
                  Sales (2)    tories (3)      sales      sales
                                             ratio (4)     (2)

1994                 179,693       312,227        1.66    198,496
1995                 189,028       329,582        1.72    208,496
1996                 201,058       340,621        1.67    221,299
1997                 210,027       350,960        1.64    231,530
1998                 220,399       365,068        1.62    243,119
1999                 239,910       394,235        1.59    263,733
2000                 255,849       417,652        1.59    281,385
2001                 263,063       406,002        1.58    289,667
2002                 269,177       430,512        1.56    296,965
2003                 283,295       451,458        1.56    313,057

2003: Oct (r)        286,388       446,194        1.56    317,127
      Nov (r)        290,171       450,075        1.55    321,202
      Dec            291,318       451,458        1.55    322,342

2004: Jan            292,253       451,357        1.54    323,918
      Feb            295,019       454,614        1.54    326,996
      Mar            301,790       460,087        1.52    333,818
      Apr            299,146       465,891        1.56    331,131
      May            303,683       466,569        1.54    335,920
      June       (c) 301,306   (c) 472,012   (c) 1.57     333,543
      July           304,355       475,225        1.56    336,944
      Aug            303,549       477,465        1.57    336,059
      Sept (r)       308,658       475,208        1.54    341,461
      Oct (p)    (r) 310,775       472,429        1.52    344,040
      Nov (p)        311,050          ...         ...     344,375

(1) See page 21 for manufacturing.

(2) Annual data are averages of monthly not seasonally adjusted
figures; monthly data are seasonally adjusted totals for month.

(3) Seasonally adjusted, end of period.

(4) Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS

In November, according to advance estimates for durable goods,
manufacturers' shipments fell; inventories and new and unfilled
orders rose.

                        Manufacturers' shipments (1)

Period                Total       Durable    Nondurable
                                   goods       goods

1994                   269,543     147,005      122,838
1995                   289,973     158,568      131,405
1996                   299,766     164,883      134,883
1997                   319,558     178,949      140,610
1998                   324,984     185,966      139,019
1999                   335,991     193,895      142,096
2000                   350,715     197,807      152,908
2001                   330,875     181,201      149,674
2002                   324,313     177,617      146,696
2003                   333,260     179,220      154,041

2003: Oct              339,825     183,740      156,085
      Nov              341,454     184,074      157,380
      Dec              348,485     187,978      160,507

2004: Jan              348,477     186,115      162,362
      Feb              348,157     188,798      159,359
      Mar              362,925     197,139      165,786
      Apr              362,569     195,512      167,057
      May              364,705     194,389      170,316
      June             368,804     196,708      172,096
      July             372,105     197,698      174,407
      Aug              375,537     201,398      174,139
      Sept             371,479     199,341      172,138
      [Oct.sup.r]      376,239     199,911      176,328
      [Nov.sup.p]         ...      199,433         ...

                       Manufacturers' inventories (2)

Period                Total       Durable    Nondurable
                                   goods       goods

1994                   400,335     253,444      146,591
1995                   425,317     267,696      157,521
1996                   430,816     272,787      158,029
1997                   443,804     281,249      162,555
1998                   449,231     290,874      158,357
1999                   463,646     296,645      167,001
2000                   481,396     306,682      174,714
2001                   452,236     283,722      168,514
2002                   444,188     271,789      172,399
2003                   438,584     262,947      175,637

2003: Oct              438,680     262,351      176,329
      Nov              438,126     261,414      176,172
      Dec              438,584     262,947      175,637

2004: Jan              440,029     263,276      176,753
      Feb              442,798     264,550      178,248
      Mar              444,579     265,607      178,972
      Apr              446,699     267,206      179,493
      May              449,946     269,308      180,638
      June             454,310     271,849      182,461
      July             458,681     274,834      183,847
      Aug              461,975     277,119      184,856
      Sept             462,377     278,013      184,364
      [Oct.sup.r]      465,235     280,381      184,854
      [Nov.sup.p]         ...      283,076         ...

                        Manufacturers' new orders (1)

                               Durable goods

Period                Total                   Capital
                                   Total       goods
                                             industries
                                             nondefense

1994                   266,641     143,803       45,175
1995                   285,542     154,137       51,011
1996                   297,282     162,399       54,066
1997                   314,986     174,377       60,697
1998                   317,345     178,327       62,133
1999                   329,770     187,674       64,392
2000                   346,789     193,881       69,278
2001                   322,944     173,270       58,336
2002                   316,744     170,048       53,991
2003                   329,167     175,126       57,445

2003: Oct              341,856     185,771       61,672
      Nov              338,726     181,346       57,862
      Dec              344,868     184,361       60,219

2004: Jan              341,868     179,506       58,564
      Feb              345,775     186,419       60,967
      Mar              363,146     197,360       64,726
      Apr              359,124     192,267       63,908
      May              360,561     190,245       62,996
      June             364,818     192,722       63,934
      July             370,838     196,431       69,879
      Aug              369,574     195,435       65,015
      Sept             369,578     197,440       67,076
      [Oct.sup.r]      372,047     195,719       64,823
      [Nov.sup.p]         ...      198,455       70,104

                                 Manufac-
                     Manufac-     turers'
Period               turers'      inven-
                     unfilled     tory--
                    orders (2)   shipments
                                 ratio (3)

1994                   434,594        1.44
1995                   447,338        1.44
1996                   488,815        1.43
1997                   513,166        1.37
1998                   496,471        1.39
1999                   505,941        1.35
2000                   550,005        1.35
2001                   517,590        1.42
2002                   485,816        1.37
2003                   506,298        1.33

2003: Oct              500,307        1.29
      Nov              503,869        1.28
      Dec              506,298        1.26

2004: Jan              506,184        1.26
      Feb              510,535        1.27
      Mar              517,585        1.22
      Apr              521,211        1.23
      May              524,365        1.23
      June             527,537        1.23
      July             533,792        1.23
      Aug              535,310        1.23
      Sept             540,244        1.24
      [Oct.sup.r]      543,309        1.24
      [Nov.sup.p]      550,085        ...

(1) Annual data are averages of monthly not seasonally adjusted
figures; monthly data are seasonally adjusted totals for month.
Shipments are the same as sales.

(2) Seasonally adjusted, end of period.

(3) Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios.
Note.--Manufactures' nondurable new order (not shown) are the same as
nondurable shipments.

Also, there are no unfilled nondurable order; data shown for total
unfilled orders are durable unfilled orders.

Total and durable shipments and inventories include data on
semiconductors; new and unfilled orders do not.

Totals for November 2004 reflect revisions to durable goods released on
December 23, 2001.

Nondurable goods are as published on December 2, 2004.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.
COPYRIGHT 2004 Superintendent Of Documents
COPYRIGHT 2005 Gale Group
 

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