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American Demographics, July, 1996 by Elia Kacapyr
Despite income and employment gains in February, the American Demographics Well-Being Index gave back almost three-quarters of a percentage point that month, falling to 101.83. This is the single largest one-month decline the index has experienced since the base month of April 1990, although two consecutive drops in early 1993 resulted in a slide of nearly 1 percentage point. Its current reading indicates that the average level of well-being in the United States is 1.83 percent higher than in the base month of April 1990.
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Analysts typically use some measure of income when gauging living standards. The American Demographics Index uses an after-tax measure known as "disposable" income. Since taxes are already paid, people can do just one of two things with this money--save it or spend it. It is measured on a per-capita basis to account for population increases that may eat away any gains in income. It is also adjusted for inflation. After all, getting a 2 percent pay raise when prices are up 3 percent effectively yields a 1 percent decrease in purchasing power.
The national economy showed surprising strength in the first quarter of 1996, and February's income and employment statistics reflect that performance. After-tax, per-capita, inflation-adjusted income was up 0.5 percent from January. The employment rate increased 0.3 percent, to 94.5 percent. Combined, the income and employment sector of the Well-Being Index rose 0.4 percent. Only once since April 1990 has this sector shown a larger month-to-month gain. A dramatic 1.8 percent gain in December 1992 was an aberration caused by the early distribution of annual bonuses to beat a change in tax laws that took effect in 1993.
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