Carriers report 90-100% increase in Ethernet traffic, says new study by Infonetics

In a recent study by Infonetics Research to determine the data network evolution plans and router and switch requirements of service providers in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, the increasing importance of Ethernet features prominently.

As carriers transform their networks in an effort to simplify network layers, use fewer technologies, build a more cost efficient infrastructure, and move to all-packet, a new optical transport layer will emerge, according to the study. This new layer will be a fused Ethernet-WDM packet transport with circuit-like capabilities via Ethernet transport tunnels, also known as COE, or connection oriented Ethernet.

The service layer above the Ethernet-WDM transport will be simplified to IP/MPLS/Ethernet, and carriers will gradually reduce their dependence on SONET and SDH in transport and on ATM in service layers, while increasing their use of Ethernet in the service and transport layers. This means a growing IP router and carrier Ethernet switch market, the study says.

"COE Ethernet transport tunnel technologies like T-MPLS and PBT are seeing strong adoption given their early stage of development, and will be an essential ingredient of the service and optical transport layers, as they allow the displacement of SONET/SDH and enable carrier Ethernet switches to displace some routers," said Michael Howard, principal analyst at Infonetics Research. "As a result, router and carrier Ethernet switch sales should continue strong as Ethernet and IP/MPLS traffic continues to grow, and at even faster rates than seen in a similar study we conducted last year."

Other highlights from the study:

--  Further penetration of broadband, increases in bandwidth usage, and
    the move to IPTV and triple and quadruple play service offerings will drive
    Ethernet and IP/MPLS traffic growth over the next 3 to 5 years
--  Top applications driving data traffic include broadband, metro
    Ethernet services, VoIP, and IPTV
--  Service providers report 90-100% increases in Ethernet traffic in 2006
    and in 2007, and 70%-80% for IP/MPLS traffic
--  72% of the study's respondents will participate in interprovider QoS
    in 2008; IP VPNs and VoIP are the most common services that make use of
    interprovider QoS
--  Reliability continues to be the #1 criteria respondents use in
    selecting an IP router and switch manufacturer
--  Cisco, Juniper, and Alcatel-Lucent sweep the field when respondents
    name the manufacturers of the edge routers they have currently installed

Infonetics' study, "Service Provider Plans for IP/MPLS," examines market and technology trends, drivers, barriers, implementation plans, expenditures, vendor ratings, and technology preferences of carriers buying IP routers and multiservice switches. Infonetics' analysts interviewed respondents at 29 carriers in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, of which:

--  34% are incumbents and 66% are competitive operators
--  Average annual revenue is $14-$15 billion in 2006-7
--  100% have IP/MPLS networks, 90% have metro Ethernet, 86% broadband
    access, 76% ATM, and 66% frame relay, and 55% mobile backhaul networks

Download study excerpts and highlights by logging in to Infonetics' online portal at www.infonetics.com (see the Metro Ethernet, Routing, and Switching area). For sales, contact Larry Howard, vice president, at larry@infonetics.com or 1 (408) 583-3335.

Infonetics Research is an international market research and consulting firm specializing in data networking and telecom. Services include quarterly market share and forecasting, end-user survey research, service provider survey research, and service provider capex analysis.

Press Contact Michael Howard Principal Analyst and Co-Founder Infonetics Research (408) 583-3351 Email Contact