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Topic: RSS FeedCross-cultural comparison of responses to the Monty Hall dilemma
Social Behavior and Personality, 1999 by Granberg, Donald
People in any culture can, of course, learn to solve conditional probability problems successfully--even though they are not easy. Such problems often involve counterintuitive solutions and cannot be solved correctly merely by applying everyday common sense. This type of problem can be referred to as a biologicalsecondary task, and therefore, one would predict greater success for a given culture only if that type of problem were emphasized and practised in schools or elsewhere in that culture (Geary, 1995).
REFERENCES
Bar-Hillel, M., & Falk, R. (1982). Some teasers concerning conditional probabilities. Cognition, 11, 109-122.
Engel, E., & Venetoulias, A. (1991). Monty Hall's probability puzzle. Chance, 4(2), 6-9. Falk, R. (1992). A closer look at the probabilities of the notorious three prisoners. Cognition, 43, 197223.
Friedman, D. ( 1998). Monty Hall's three doors: Construction and deconstruction of a choice anomaly. American Economic Review, 88, 933-946.
Geary, D. (1995). Reflections of evolution and culture in children's cognition: Implications for mathematical development and instruction. American Psychologist, 50, 24-37. Geary, D., Hamson, C., Cheri, G., Liu, F., Hoard, M., & Salthouse, T. (1997). Computational and reasoning abilities in arithmetic: Cross-generational change in China and the United States. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 4, 425-430.
Georges, J., & Craine, T. (1995, March/April). Generalizing Monty's dilemma. Quantum, 16-21. Gilovich, T. (1991). How we know what isn't so: The fallibility of human reason in everyday life. New York: Free Press.
Gilovich, T., Medvec, V., & Chen, S. (1995). Commission, omission, and dissonance reduction: Coping with regret in the "Monty Hall" problem. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 21, 182-190.
Granberg, D. (1996). To switch or not to switch. Pp. 169-196 in M. vos Savant (ed.) The power of logical thinking. New York: St. Martin's Press.
Granberg, D., & Brown, T. (1995). The Monty Hall dilemma. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 21, 711-723.
Granberg, D., & Dorr, N. (1998). Further exploration of two stage decision making in the Monty Hall dilemma. American Journal of Psychology, 111, 561-579.
Nickerson, R. 1996. Ambiguities and unstated assumptions in probabilistic reasoning. Psychological Bulletin 120, 410-433.
Segall, M., Campbell, D., & Herskovits, M. (1966). The influence of culture on visual perception.
DONALD GRANBERG University of Missouri, MO, USA
Donald Granberg, Professor of Sociology, University of Missouri - Columbia, MO, USA.
The author thanks Liu Fan, David Geary, Mikael Gilljam, Chen Go-peng, Soren Holmberg, Suli Jia, Andrea Moraes, Renata Moraes, Anna Ronstrom, and Anders Widfeldt for their advice and assistance. Copies of the questionnaire in the Chinese, Portuguese, and Swedish versions are available upon request to the author.
Please address correspondence and reprint requests to: Donald Granberg, Department of Sociology, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA, 65211. E-Mail:
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